Monday, January 01, 2018

My Predictions For 2018.




























Last year I made my 2017 predictions and almost all of them were correct.  You can see them Here.  For example, the ATR situation remains unresolved, the targeting by the DOE of veteran teachers continued unabated, and the union leadership's inaction against vindictive principals.Now its time to predict what happens in 2018


Union leadership:
With the Supreme Court probably ruling that union dues are voluntary in the Janus case this Spring, look for our disconnected union leadership to  put extreme pressure on school Chapter Leaders to push their members to pay their union dues,  Moreover, they will falsely claim that members who do not pay their union dues will be losing valuable union services,  Finally, look for the union leadership to reduce their well- paid patronage jobs as the effects of Janus, the new tax system, and the discontent of the members will mean major belt tightening at the UFT.  Bye, bye patronage jobs.

ATRs:
Look for little change in the ATR situation as few principals are willing to hire veteran teachers when the school based fair student funding stays in effect.  There may be another failed ATR incentive and buyout that will result in few ATRs taking the buyout, unless they are retiring anyway.

DOE:
The double standard in disciplining principals will continue as few principals will be removed, unless the media campaigns for their removal.  Furthermore, with our union not pushing for the removal of vindictive principals, they can continue to rule roughshod on their staff,  Finally, the DOE encourages the removal of veteran teachers by any means possible.  The DOE will still be the enemy when it comes to teaching in the classroom.  Collaboration between the DOE and classroom teachers is only a fantasy.

Chancellor:
I suspect the new Chancellor will come from the ranks of Tweed  and that means the Bloomberg philosophy that permeates the DOE will continue with l;little change. While there may be some cosmetic changes at the top look for school based fair student funding and the Charlotte Danielon rubric to continue.

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

Will Namita Dwarka, Principal of Bryant HS, Queens NY, post a sign on her butt "FREE MEAT" ?

Anonymous said...

Danielson not going anywhere- so quit dreaming.

Anonymous said...

Chaz, you really think Danielson will still be here after the next contract? Our observation system here in NYC is a nightmare and every single teacher hates it. Don't you think the UFT might get us something better considering that Janus is right around the corner and dues will most likely become optional? I for one know this is the make or brake issue with me in regard to if I am going to pull my dues.

Chaz said...

Danielson will remain in force until and unless the union leadership starts listening to the members.

Anonymous said...

Is Namita Dwarka from WC Bryant still donking Howie Kwait ?? Two disgusting humans getting it on ...ohhhh yeaaaaaaa!

Anonymous said...

We should demand the removal of Danielsons or else.
Blackmail.
Works every time. And the UFT couldn't deserve it more.

Anonymous said...

If Danielson stays, I am not going to pay dues anymore. Plain and simple. It is a no brainer. I am too old and miserable in my career right now to continue to support my own pain and suffering.

Anonymous said...

That is what our Union wants to get rid of older teachers.

Anonymous said...

The Chancellor likes people that bring schools to the grpund.

Anonymous said...

So you think there will be an ATR buyout? What does a serious ATR buyout look like Chaz?

Anonymous said...

I agree with 5:07. Danielsons or union dues.

The whole Danielsons process is so stupid.

1) 4+ observations for effective teachers?
2) Unannounced (for what, gotchas?)
3) "Looking at only some components" during a visit? Who can plan for everything?
4) Admins can circle boxes on the rubric at whim - ripe for abuse.
5) Those awful debriefs that are like psychological torture.
"So teacher, what would you have done differently... Explain your groups..."
6) Other things are not rated, such as timeliness, professional attitude, neatness of class, etc like they used to be. Now it all rides on 'ten minute snapshots.'

I could go on, but you get the point. Eliminate Danielsons!

Anonymous said...

People quitting, not retiring need a much better deal as they would not be getting pension for a while, and when they d, it would be tiny, no medical, etc...

Anonymous said...

They can blatantly lie. At my school that's what they do. They write down things that are packs of lies with NO evidence. And the UFT acts helpless. Do you see the bullshit clearly? Partners. One takes a swing at you, knocks you down, then the other one comes over and kicks you.
Then they write s few letters full of lies. And voila, the teacher is now ready for 3020a.
Luckily for me, my principal also retaliated against me for filing an APPR complaint so now I get to file a PERB complaint against her. And I did.

Anonymous said...

My prediction is you will all still cry like babies. everything will stay the same and you all will bend over and take it.

Anonymous said...

Buyout in 2019 not 2018 according to ATR supervisors. ATR supervisor also wants buyout to retire and is waiting for buyout.