Monday, January 01, 2018
My Predictions For 2018.
Last year I made my 2017 predictions and almost all of them were correct. You can see them Here. For example, the ATR situation remains unresolved, the targeting by the DOE of veteran teachers continued unabated, and the union leadership's inaction against vindictive principals.Now its time to predict what happens in 2018
With the Supreme Court probably ruling that union dues are voluntary in the Janus case this Spring, look for our disconnected union leadership to put extreme pressure on school Chapter Leaders to push their members to pay their union dues, Moreover, they will falsely claim that members who do not pay their union dues will be losing valuable union services, Finally, look for the union leadership to reduce their well- paid patronage jobs as the effects of Janus, the new tax system, and the discontent of the members will mean major belt tightening at the UFT. Bye, bye patronage jobs.
Look for little change in the ATR situation as few principals are willing to hire veteran teachers when the school based fair student funding stays in effect. There may be another failed ATR incentive and buyout that will result in few ATRs taking the buyout, unless they are retiring anyway.
The double standard in disciplining principals will continue as few principals will be removed, unless the media campaigns for their removal. Furthermore, with our union not pushing for the removal of vindictive principals, they can continue to rule roughshod on their staff, Finally, the DOE encourages the removal of veteran teachers by any means possible. The DOE will still be the enemy when it comes to teaching in the classroom. Collaboration between the DOE and classroom teachers is only a fantasy.
I suspect the new Chancellor will come from the ranks of Tweed and that means the Bloomberg philosophy that permeates the DOE will continue with l;little change. While there may be some cosmetic changes at the top look for school based fair student funding and the Charlotte Danielon rubric to continue.